The sleepy town of Oxford, Ohio
generally wakes back up in mid-August for the beginning of Miami University’s
school year, but this summer, the city woke up a little early and is still
abuzz with excitement over Mitt Romney’s choice of Representative Paul Ryan as
his Vice Presidential candidate.
Though first-year move in day was
still a day away, students, faculty, alumni, and residents of the surrounding
areas turned out in droves for a rally to see their favorite son yesterday at 6
PM. Ryan was accompanied by the highly popular US Senator Rob Portman and
often embattled, but vivacious Ohio Governor John Kasich. The three fired
up the receptive crowd with their anti-Obama, pro growth messaging.
And while student perceptions of
Ryan’s political views may be mixed; all of Oxford is excited about the
notoriety the University is receiving in the wake of the selection. Ryan
is the first Miamian on the national ticket since Republican alumni Benjamin
Harrison tabbed Whitelaw Reid his running mate for his failed reelection bid in
1893.
One student saw the pick as a
rejection of the pragmatism this big moment in our countries history requires.
"Picking him said you're
riding on the coattails of his budget plan and highly ideological approach.
I saw Romney as more of somebody who wanted to get things done, but not
so much anymore after this decision. It's almost like he just picked his
younger brother or a younger version of himself," second-year student Jonathan
Fox, a political science major, said.
Fox is a firm vote for Obama, but
may have been persuaded to cross over had Romney picked another moderate
Republican like the genteel Conservative, as dubbed
by Politico's Jonathan Martin, Portman.
There's no doubt that the Ryan
choice fundamentally shifted the conversation in the race. For the first
few months, voters were forced to endure an almost entirely negative Obama message
from the Romney campaign, since polls indicate voters care about the economy more than any other issue, and also trust Romney's ability to guide the economy more than
President Obama.
The Romney campaign, understanding
they lacked the ability to run on their candidate's record as Massachusetts
Governor, where his greatest legislative success was the passage of a health
care reform bill including an individual mandate, speak about his Mormon faith,
or discuss his highly successful career running Bain Capital after the Obama
team successfully discredited his job creation record there.
These factors caused the campaign
to play it safe and hammer away at the President's handling of the economy.
It was widely assumed that this strategy, cultivated by Romney's Chief
Strategist Stuart Stevens, would continue all the way to November given the
close nature of the race, and the VP pick would be a safe one that did not rock
the boat; however as Dan Hirschhorn, a political reporter for The Daily,
tweeted, "Source: Ryan pick 'means Romney's got control of his
campaign-Stuart Stevens was fighting for Portman until the last dog
died.'"
The counter narrative, driven by
Team Obama all along has been that this election is a clear choice between two
distinct visions for the future--the extreme right-wing one pushed mostly by
the highly unpopular Republicans in Congress, and the balanced approach called
for by many prominent Democrats, including the President.
The President wanted the race to be
about no government vs. government playing an important role, and Romney wanted
a referendum on Obama's handling of the economy.
By choosing the ideological leader
of the Republican Party, Ryan, Romney has acquiesced to Obama's narrative.
Ryan admits as much in his standard stump speech where he says "this
election is a clear choice." Romney made the calculation that a
referendum would not make him President, and made a risky possibly politically
foolish move in the process.
Embracing Ryan means embracing his
controversial budget and proposals to reform medicare, and despite the fact
that there is currently a lot of talk about the American people embracing
responsibility on our unsustainable entitlement spending, history shows us that
hammering the other side on medicare cuts is a huge political winner (see 1996
and 2010 as great examples).
Of course this means it's likely
that the Romney-Ryan ticket loses big--it's much easier to caricature the bold
than to actually provide real solutions, which is what the political left will
do on Medicare this fall. It's also true that premium support and turning
Medicare into a voucher system will probably not be popular with Americans in
important swing states like Ohio (and Florida) with aging labor
forces who rely on the program.
The reality is, Paul Ryan is an
ideologue in a country that's young people are desperately desiring
non-ideological pragmatic solutions, and while students at Miami University may
be excited to see an alumni rise to a level of such prominence there is an
understanding that far right and far left proposals are unlikely to get us out
of our current mess.
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